Election Watchers are channeling their inner Beyoncé and moving projections for Iowa’s Congressional races “to the Left.” This week alone, FiveThirtyEight and Inside Elections improved on their already optimistic outlooks for Iowa’s Democratic Congressional challengers.
“We’re going to fight every day from now until 9 PM on November 6th – and even after that if folks are still in line – but it feels damn good to see our candidates’ hard work already paying off. Iowans know that J.D., Cindy, and Abby will have their backs in D.C. We cannot wait to send their brand of fresh, people-first leadership to Congress,” said Iowa Democratic Party Chair Troy Price.
J.D. Scholten is challenging the long-held Iowa political doctrine that Democrats can’t compete in Iowa’s Fourth District, and his hard work is paying off. Last month, the Sabato’s Crystal Ball upgraded his race moving Steve King out of the category of “Safe Republican,” and now, Inside Elections is following suit moving the race out of the “Solid Republican.” The Scholten campaign is gaining momentum and represents the best chance Democrats have ever had to dethrone Steve King.
Cindy Axne’s campaign got a boost from Inside Elections as well, getting moved from “Likely Republican” to “Tilt Republican.” Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify this race as a “Toss Up.” Team Axne also got some good news from the FiveThirtyEight blog, which predicts that there’s a 2 in 3 chance IA-03 is flipping blue this year.
Iowans in the First District have known for months that State Representative Abby Finkenauer is energizing and activating her community like few other campaigns have before. Her race is rated as a “Toss Up” by three differentelections watchers, has been described as ‘the most important swing district in the country,’ and was recently featured on the cover of the New York Times.
“But Mr. Blum thanked the president during his July visit for “having political courage to renegotiate these trade deals.”
Abby Finkenauer, the 29-year-old Democratic challenger in the race, called those comments “heartbreaking.” Ms. Finkenauer, a state legislator, has built a bigger campaign treasury than Mr. Blum and recently won the endorsement of former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.
“We deserve a lot better than a congressman who sits there and thanks somebody for throwing livelihoods in flux,” Ms. Finkenauer said in an interview.”