Iowa Voters Chose Democrats Over Republicans for Federal Office By Four Points in 2018 Midterms.
Federal Results Indicate 13 Point Swing Towards Democrats After Just Two Years of the Trump Presidency.
These margins enabled Iowa Democrats to flip not one but two of Iowa’s four Congressional Districts, sending Abby Finkenauer and Cindy Axne as the first women from Iowa to the U.S. House of Representatives.
While Iowa Democrats will keep fighting for votes in every corner of the state, these results give us a great foundation for success in 2019, 2020, and beyond.
In honor of those four points, here are the four indicators that are lighting the fire under Iowa Democrats for the 2020 election cycle.
1,303,278 Iowans voted in the Congressional elections this year.
50.4% of those Iowa voters chose to send Democrats to Washington D.C. while only…
46.6% of Iowans chose Republicans.
That’s a 3.8% margin of victory for Democrats in 2018.
This marks a significant shift from 2016 when…
53.7% of Iowans chose Republican members of Congress to the…
44.5% who chose Democrats.
That was a 9.2% margin of victory for Republicans in 2016.
Comparing Iowa votes for members of Congress in 2018 to 2016, that’s a…
13 point swing TOWARDS Democrats in less than two years of full Republican control in D.C.
Comparing Trump’s 2016 results to the 2018 Federal results:
Trump’s margin of victory in Iowa was 9.6% in 2016.
Democrats margin of victory at the Federal level in 2018 was 3.8%.
That’s a 13.4 point swing away from Trump towards Democrats in less than two years.
The 2018 election results somewhat mirror the most recent approval numbers from the Iowa Poll:
45% of Iowans have a favorable view of the President while a healthy majority at…
52% have a mostly unfavorable or very unfavorable view of Donald Trump.
The 2018 gubernatorial race was the closest in generations, with only 3 points separating Governor Kim Reynolds and Fred Hubbell.
By contrast, in 2014 Governor Terry Branstad and Lieutenant Governor Reynolds won by 21.8 points.
That’s an 18.8 point swing TOWARDS Democrats.
Additionally, Fred Hubbell set a record for total number of raw votes won by a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Iowa.
Scholten’s campaign helped increase raw voter turnout in the 4thdistrict in all but 4 counties, even as the population in rural counties is rapidly shrinking. That translated to a nearly 20 point swing TOWARDS Democrats in the 4th District.
In 2016, Congressman Steve King won by 22.6 points.
In 2018, Scholten came within 3 points of unseating King in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats 39% to 25%.
“Two years ago people wrote off Iowa as a red state, but in 2018 Iowa Democrats proved them wrong. We are incredibly proud of the work that our candidates, activists, and volunteers did over the last two years to put this state back on track. We are going to build upon our successes and learn from the races where we came up short. We have a solid foundation to build upon, and I know that this team can and will win in 2020,” said Iowa Democratic Party Chair Troy Price.