Sabato’s Crystal Ball Updates IA-GOV to “Toss Up”

Iowa Democrats are competing in races up and down the ticket and election watchers are taking notice. With two congressional districts and the governor’s office all in toss up territory – and more headed in that direction, every single vote in the state of Iowa will matter this November.

“Democrats are fighting like hell today and every day for the chance to serve the people of Iowa, and we’re starting to see it pay off.  We’re running to create opportunities here in our great state so that every Iowa family can succeed, and if this trend keeps up, that’s exactly what we’ll be doing in January 2019,” said Iowa Democratic Party Spokesperson Tess Seger.

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This morning, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball upgraded the gubernatorial race in Iowa from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up” citing Reynolds’ weak record of leadership and Fred Hubbell’s strong fundraising numbers.

Earlier this week, Governing.com moved the race in to Toss Up Territory, following the Cook Political Report’s significant move from “Likely Republican” to “Toss Up” in June.

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Democrats have long known that the race to defeat Rod Blum would be one of the most competitive in the country, and that’s reflected in this district’s “toss up” rating. Abby Finkenauer has emerged as a powerful force; holding Congressman Blum accountable for his lack of backbone and refusal to stand up for working Iowa.

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Just this week, a new poll showed Cindy Axne up four points over Republican incumbent David Young. Then, on Wednesday, the Cook Political Report moved the race from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up,” citing the enthusiasm and strength driving the Axne campaign.